On last night’s VideoCast (Episode 42) I mentioned the Election Betting Odds data for 2020 (Election Betting Odds 2020) and asked if anyone could provide the same data from 2016.
I have since located it this afternoon on (Election Betting Odds 2016 Data). At this point in 2016 (August), Trump was at 20% chance of being elected (according to people placing bets – which has historically been more accurate than polls). You can see that in the chart above, or here: (Election Betting Odds 2016 Data).
This compares to present odds which place him at 38.7%. You can see that in the chart below, or here: (Election Betting Odds 2020).