In the spreadsheet above I have tracked the earnings estimates for the Ark Innovation Fund top 30 weighted stocks.
The column under the date 10/17/2022 has a letter that represents the movement in 2022 earnings estimates since the most recent print (8/17/2022). “U” means 2022 estimates are UP in the last 60 days. “D” means 2022 estimates are DOWN in the last 60 days. “S” means 2022 estimates have remained the SAME in the last 60 days. The column entitled “1yr Target Est” is the Wall Street consensus 12 month price target for each stock.
What this table is telling us is that estimates have fallen. More estimates came Down in the past 60 days than went Up – Up:Down – 10:16 ratio. The rest remained the same.
The cumulative earnings power in the top 30 weights of ARKK has fallen from -47.61 to -51.79. 2023 estimates have fallen from -27.1 to -32.89.
