In the spreadsheet above I have tracked the earnings estimates for the Basic Materials Sector ETF (XLB). I have columns for what the 2024 and 2025 estimates were today and 60 days ago.
The column under the date 9/10/2024 has a letter that represents the movement in 2024 earnings estimates since the most recent print (7/12/2024). “U” means 2024 estimates are UP in the last 60 days. “D” means 2024 estimates are DOWN in the last 60 days. “S” means 2024 estimates have remained the SAME in the last 60 days. The column entitled “1yr Target Est” is the Wall Street consensus 12 month price target for each stock.
What this table is telling us is that estimates have come DOWN. More estimates came DOWN for 2024 in the past 60 days than went UP – UP:DOWN ratio of 12:15 – the rest stayed the same.
The cumulative 2024 earnings power of the group went DOWN by -4.62% in the last 60 days. 2025 estimates are DOWN -4.18% in the past 60 days.
