Category: Commentary

Image Source: RobinReport

There have been a few themes we’ve been pressing on in recent weeks’ article|podcast|videocast: Continue reading “The Deflating “Inflation Narrative” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…”

Last week, not only in my article of the week (The “Forced Seller” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…), but in my appearance on Fox Business – The Claman Countdown – I referenced the unnatural “forced selling” that was cascading and had to flush through the system before we found a bottom.  Thanks to Liz Claman and Ellie Terrett for having me on:

Watch in HD directly on fox Business

I communicated that the selling was not natural and it felt like a liquidation. Here were my notes ahead of the segment: Continue reading “The “Mystery Liquidator Revealed” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…”

The May survey covered ~300 managers with $872 Billion in assets under management. Continue reading “May 2022 Bank of America Global Fund Manager Survey Results (Summary)”

The selling we are seeing in recent days is not orderly or natural, it is forced selling from fund liquidations and margin calls.  It will flush through the system and then we can find a bottom and start to recover. Continue reading “The “Forced Seller” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…”

On Wednesday afternoon the Federal Reserve issued their FOMC statement and plans for reducing the size of the balance sheet.  I have underlined the key points here:
Continue reading ““Threading the Needle” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…”

Here’s what everyone feels like doing after the last few weeks of market action:

Here’s what it felt like holding most equities over the past week:

@sportsnet Nurse said SEE YA, JAMIE. 💥👋 #nhl #nhlonsn #hockeytiktoks #hockeyhits ♬ original sound – Kate 💥

Take two…

@user1737488226 bad day to be a golf club #onlyinmycalvins #PringlesCanHands #TalkingTree ♬ original sound – user1737488226

In 2017, Country Star Jon Pardi released his hit “Heartache on the Dance Floor.”  It peaked at #3 and #5 on both the Billboard Country Airplay and Hot Country Songs charts respectively. It also reached number 47 on the Hot 100 chart. Continue reading ““Heartache on the Dance Floor” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…”

If you are wondering when Value Tech, Biotech and China Tech are going to finish their bear markets and roar higher, you need only look at 1 chart (which we referenced in the last couple of weeks). Here it is (originally) and denoted with multiple other takes: Continue reading “The “Magic Chart” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…”

The theme of this week is “peak everything.”  Peak inflation, peak yields, peak commodities, possibly peak margins, peak growth, peak cash and most importantly peak pessimism… Continue reading “Peak Everything Stock Market? (and Sentiment Results)…”

On August 19, 2014, Taylor Swift released her hit song “Shake it Off.”  It was nominated for three Grammy awards in 2015 and named one of the 10 songs that defined the 2010’s by USA Today.  The key lyrics that relate to the current state of the stock market are as follows: Continue reading “The “Shake it Off” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…”

On Tuesday, the 2/10 yield curve inverted by -3bps (for a few minutes) and closed with a positive spread +2bps on the day.  There are a number of factors that led to this incident, but one stands out from the crowd. Continue reading “To Invert or Not To Invert? That is the key Stock Market question…”