Category: Commentary

Now that we’ve had the 5% pullback we anticipated in recent weeks, many pundits are once again prognosticating the “beginning of the end.”  When you dig under the surface however, the clearer story looks like “the end of the beginning” and most stocks are just at the starting gate of major cyclical recoveries. Continue reading ““At The Starting Gate” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…”

We don’t know (if that’s it), but in our July 27 note, we put out the following warning:

In our weekly podcast|videocast – we also emphasized the probability of 3-5% pullbacks coming in this normal seasonally weak period – that would be bought by institutions having to play “catch up.”  So now we got it, and we think getting close to the point where we should begin to see some institutional cash step in:

Continue reading “Is that it? Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…”

This week I traveled to Las Vegas to speak at the MoneyShow “Investment Masters Symposium” along with many great speakers like Charles Payne, Tom DeMark, Tom Lee, Kenny Polcari, Keith Fitz-Gerald, Mike Lee, Mitch Roschelle, Larry Williams and more… Continue reading ““Vegas Baby, Vegas!” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…”

Fox Business

On Tuesday I joined Charles Payne on Fox Business’ Making Money with Charles Payne.  Thanks to Kayla Arestivo, Nick Palazzo and Charles for having me on the show.  In this segment, we talked about how the “dumb money” has been right and the “smart money” has been wrong this year and in recent preceding years.  We also covered the playbook for the second half of the year and how to deal with short-term seasonal volatility: Continue reading ““Dumb Money” is the new “Smart Money” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…”

CNBC Closing Bell

This morning I joined Ade Nurul Safrina on CNBC “Closing Bell” Indonesia to discuss the Fed’s move yesterday, Emerging Markets, Earnings and Markets Outlook moving forward.  Thanks to Safrina and Fitria for having me on:

CPS

As many of you know, Cooper Standard started as one of our largest three positions (by capital deployed) in May of 2022 and has grown into our largest position through price appreciation.
Continue reading ““More Good News” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…”

“Heart Like a Truck” is a song recorded by American country music singer Lainey Wilson. It was released in May 2022 as the lead single from her second studio album, Bell Bottom Country. Continue reading ““Heart Like A Truck” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…”

The June survey covered 222 fund managers with $588 billion under management. Continue reading “July 2023 Bank of America Global Fund Manager Survey Results (Summary)”

For many months we have been saying (in our weekly podcast|videocast) that June, July and August would be the months we would see headline inflation collapse to the mid to low 3% levels.  This estimation was realized this week for the June numbers.  We not only hit a “3 handle”, but were on the CUSP of a “2 handle!” Continue reading ““Inflation Relaxation” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…”

There’s an old maxim, “the secret to happiness is low expectations.”  This saying could not apply more directly than to what we are seeing coming into the Q2 earnings season. Continue reading ““The Secret To Happiness” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…”