AAII Sentiment Results: NO MAN’S LAND – Part Trois!

I focus on the AAII sentiment indicator when it is at true extremes.  This week, the bullish sentiment moved back down to 33% from 37%.  This is a neutral rating (not optimistic or excessively pessimistic).  The Bearish Percent creeped up to 27% from 23% which is still pretty complacent until we see a move to the high 30s/low 40s.  So while there is no euphoria on the side of the bulls, there is also very little fear and still a decent amount of complacency- hence NO MAN’S land part Trois!

The past 3 weeks of “No Man’s Land Parts un-trois” are also reflected in the indices which have basically gone nowhere in the month of March:

Here are the last two editions of “No Man’s Land:”

AAII Sentiment Results: NO MAN’S LAND – Part Deux!

AAII Sentiment Results: NO MAN’S LAND!

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Be in the know. 10 key reads for Thursday…

  1. Tim Knight takes a technical view with “Downtrend Intact” (Slope of Hope)
  2. Hedge Fund and Insider Trading News: Bodenholm Capital, Regal Funds Management, Nexstar Media Group Inc (NXST), Denbury Resources Inc. (DNR), and More (Insider Monkey)
  3. Boeing Will Recover (Bloomberg)
  4. Exclusive: China makes unprecedented proposals on tech, trade talks progress – U.S. officials (Reuters)
  5. Bond yields on the canvas, Turkey’s lira on the ropes (StreetInsider)
  6. Why Pfizer May Soon Make Up Lost Ground in Underperforming Against Merck (24/7 Wall St.)
  7. Mystery Trader Bets Huge That Market Is Wrong On Fed Rate-Cuts (ZeroHedge)
  8. Pimco and BlackRock Have a Contrarian Bet on Inflation (Bloomberg)
  9. 19th-Century ‘Humiliation’ Haunts China-U.S. Trade Talks (New York Times)
  10. U.S. LNG Tipped To Go Global On Abundant Supplies (Forbes)

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Be in the know. 8 key reads for Wednesday

  1. Likely Fed nominee Stephen Moore thinks rates should be cut by half a percentage point (CNBC)
  2. Turkey On Verge Of Collapse As Overnight Swaps Hit 700%, CDS Soar (ZeroHedge)
  3. One Way Stocks Go Up Is if Wall Street Sets the Earnings Bar Really, Really Low (Barron’s)
  4. Here’s Why U.S. Bond Yields Plunged So Much Over the Past Week (Bloomberg)
  5. US efforts to cut trade deficit show biggest win in almost a year (CNBC)
  6. Lennar, KB Home Earnings Boosted by Falling Mortgage Rates (Bloomberg)
  7. Top Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades: Alcoa, Apple, Autodesk, BB&T, Bed Bath & Beyond, Camping World, Nvidia, Vertex, Voya and More (24/7 Wall Street)
  8. Neiman Marcus, in Debt Talks, Makes It Easier to Bet It Will Fail (Wall Street Journal)

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Insider Buying in Revlon, Inc. (REV)

From March22-25, 2019, Billionaire Ronald Perelman – Director of Revlon, Inc. (REV) – purchased 115,000 shares of REV at ~$21.21.  His out was $2,439,723.

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Be in the know. 7 key reads for Tuesday…

  1. Home prices in January see smallest gain in nearly 4 years: S&P Case-Shiller (CNBC)
  2. US auto sales are falling, and cars are more expensive than ever (CNBC)
  3. Housing starts drop 9% in February and show little sign of perking up (MarketWatch)
  4. Pentagon authorizes $1 billion for Trump’s border wall (MarketWatch)
  5. Top Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades: Alcoa, Apple, Autodesk, BB&T, Bed Bath & Beyond, Camping World, Nvidia, Vertex, Voya and More (24/7 Wall Street)
  6. World of Negative Debt Expands to One-Fifth of Global Market (Bloomberg)
  7. Hedge Funds Boost Shorts as Gains in March Reward Caution (Bloomberg)

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