Be in the know. 20 key reads for Sunday…

  1. The Tech That Will Invade Our Lives in 2020 (New York Times)
  2. Inside the world of one of YouTube’s most popular food vloggers (Vox)
  3. ‘Points Guy’ Brian Kelly on Maximizing Travel Rewards (Podcast) (Bloomberg)
  4. Typical January Trading: Volatile Last 20 Years (Almanac Trader)
  5. The MMT backlash takes a new form (FT Alphaville)
  6. Hedge Fund and Insider Trading News: Bill Ackman, Marshall Wace, Greenlight Capital, Becton Dickinson and Co (BDX), On Track Innovations Ltd (OTIVF), and More (Insider Monkey)
  7. This Icelandic Retreat Is Reminiscent of a Bond Villain’s Lair (Fortune)
  8. 22 of the Most Expensive Homes in the World for Sale (Robb Report)
  9. 18 Travel Experiences To Add To Your Bucket List In 2020 (BuzzFeed)
  10. ECRI Weekly Leading Index Update (Advisor Perspectives)
  11. Here’s What’s Coming To Netflix, Hulu, Amazon, HBO and Disney+ in January (Maxim)
  12. Episode 216: How Four Drinking Buddies Saved Brazil (NPR Planet Money)
  13. The Great British Bicycle Bubble (NPR Planet Money)
  14. Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff Runs a $143 Billion Company From an iPhone. Here’s Why That Makes Perfect Sense (Inc.)
  15. Why So Many Emerging Markets Are Blowing Up Right Now (Podcast) (Bloomberg)
  16. Scientists Spot Addiction-Associated Circuit in Rats (Scientific American)
  17. Issues 2020: A Fracking Ban Would Trigger Global Recession (Manhattan Institute)
  18. Top 10 Tips to Meet Your New Year’s Resolution. (LiveLux)
  19. 20 Questions We Have for the 2020s (Popular Mechanics)
  20. 713: The Tipping Point Between Failure and Success (Harvard Business Review)

Be in the know. 15 key reads for Saturday…

  1. Forget About Dogs Of The Dow, Upgrade To Dobermans (Forbes)
  2. Hedge Fund Tips – Episode 10 – VideoCast. Stock Market Commentary. (ZeroHedge)
  3. How Trump Planned the Drone Strike With a Tight Circle of Aides (Bloomberg)
  4. Here’s what typically happens to the financial markets after major Middle East crisis events (CNBC)
  5. Billionaires shop at Costco too—see Mark Zuckerberg checking out TVs (CNBC)
  6. Strait of Hormuz, the world’s biggest oil chokepoint, in focus as Iran tensions flare (MarketWatch)
  7. Lennar Stock Looks Like a Bargain. Here’s Why. (MarketWatch)
  8. Large Macy’s Option Trader Betting On A Rebound Year (Benzinga)
  9. How Uncut Gems Won Over the Diamond District (Vanity Fair)
  10. Amazon Is a Free-Cash Rocket Ship.Time to Jump on Board. (Barron’s)
  11. There Are Slim Pickings in the Restaurant Sector. Here’s One Stock Worth Nibbling On. (Barron’s)
  12. Occidental Petroleum, Walt Disney, Nissan Motor: Stocks That Defined the Week (Wall Street Journal)
  13. Ten people set to shape Wall Street in 2020 (Financial Times)
  14. Fed minutes show confidence in 2020 interest rate path (Financial Times)
  15. Stocks Face New Risks, But Here’s Why It’s Not Time To Flee (Investor’s Business Daily)

HFT VideoCast – Stock Market Commentary and Weekly Recap – Episode 10

Article referenced in VideoCast above:

The Earth, Wind & Fire “Shining Star” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)

In this episode we cover:

  • general stock market commentary
  • positioning and sentiment
  • CNBC and Fox Business quotes from this week
  • Increased Guidance on tap?
  • Earnings by Sectors
  • Energy E&P thesis
  • CEO/CFO sentiment
  • Fed Liquidity
  • AAII sentiment
  • NAAIM positioning
  • S&P and Euro Stoxx 600 earnings
  • Dogs of Dow
  • Transports
  • Jude Clemente Energy Article in Forbes
  • Rig count

Podcast – Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes – Episode 1

Article referenced in podcast above:

The Earth, Wind & Fire “Shining Star” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)

In this episode we cover:

  • general stock market commentary
  • positioning and sentiment
  • CNBC and Fox Business quotes from this week
  • Increased Guidance on tap?
  • Earnings by Sectors
  • Energy E&P thesis
  • CEO/CFO sentiment
  • Fed Liquidity
  • AAII sentiment
  • NAAIM positioning
  • S&P and Euro Stoxx 600 earnings
  • Dogs of Dow
  • Transports
  • Jude Clemente Energy Article in Forbes
  • Rig count

 

2020 Earnings Estimates: US down modestly, Europe UP

Data Source: Factset

S&P 500 Earnings:

This week, 2020 EPS estimates came down from 178.24 to 177.77.  While this is a drop of 26bps, the 2020 Earnings Growth rate stayed up at 9.6% due to a slight down-tick in 2019 estimated results.  Q4 2019 Estimates have dropped 10bps (from -1.4% to -1.5% since 12/20). Continue reading “2020 Earnings Estimates: US down modestly, Europe UP”

Be in the know. 10 key reads for Friday…

  1. Top 10 Tasks for Boeing’s New CEO (Wall Street Journal)
  2. China’s cabinet plans further action to boost manufacturers: state media (Reuters)
  3. The Power of Social Media in Predicting Stock Returns (Institutional Investor)
  4. Ten Strategists on What U.S.-Iran Escalation Means for Markets (Bloomberg)
  5. Why Battered Oilfield Services Stocks Could Be Big 2020 Winners (24/7 Wall Street)
  6. Why You Should Keep An Eye On These 5 Leading Health Care Stocks (Investor’s Business Daily)
  7. Macau casinos’ luck may change. Two stocks that could win (Barron’s)
  8. The U.S. killed an Iranian General—and the Riskiest Oil Stocks Are Flying (Barron’s)
  9. Boris Johnson’s chief adviser posted a bizarre advert calling for ‘super-talented weirdos’ to help run the UK government (Business Insider)
  10. U.S. shale producers to tap brakes in 2020 after years of rapid growth (Reuters)

Be in the know. 15 key reads for Thursday…

  1. China Moves to Steady Its Slowing Economic Growth (New York Times)
  2. The Earth, Wind & Fire “Shining Star” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results) (ZeroHedge)
  3. These 6 charts compare the US and China economies (CNBC)
  4. Irrational exuberance? Why last year’s stellar returns may have been a reversal of ‘excessive pessimism’ (MarketWatch)
  5. Goldman Sachs Was the Worst Dow Stock of 2018. It Was One of the Best in 2019. (Barron’s)
  6. FedEx Stock Ended 2019 With a Loss. One Director Bought Up Shares in December. (Barron’s)
  7. The highest-paid CEOs of 2019 (USA Today)
  8. The Dollar’s Losses May Just Be Getting Started (Bloomberg)
  9. Almost Everything Wall Street Expects in 2020 (Bloomberg)
  10. OPEC Output Falls as Gulf Nations Step Up Delivery of Oil Cuts (Bloomberg)
  11. This is what the Warren Buffett empire looks like, in one giant chart (MarketWatch)
  12. Treasury’s Mnuchin to head U.S. delegation to Davos conclave (Reuters)
  13. 7 Excellent Value Stocks to Buy for 2020 (Yahoo! Finance)
  14. Twilio CEO Lawson Tinkers Until Solving Customers’ Problems (Investor’s Business Daily)
  15. MAX Crashes Strengthen Resolve of Boeing to Automate Flight (Wall Street Journal)

The Earth, Wind & Fire “Shining Star” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)

In 1975, Earth, Wind & Fire released their famous song entitled, “Shining Star.”  The salient lyrics – as they relate to the Stock Market in this week’s note are:

Continue reading “The Earth, Wind & Fire “Shining Star” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)”