Tag: Federal Reserve

“Are you tired of winning yet?” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…

James Branch Cabell, “The optimist claims we live in the best of all possible worlds, and the pessimist fears this is true.”

In many of his campaign rallies, President Trump said, “you’re going to start winning so much that you’re going to beg that I can’t take it anymore!”

Well that was quite a tall order, but regardless of what side of the political spectrum you lie on, Wednesday’s “Phase 1” deal was a big win for the U.S., for China, and the rest of the world. Continue reading ““Are you tired of winning yet?” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…”

Be in the know. 10 key reads for Wednesday…

  1. Bridgewater’s Greg Jensen sees gold rallying as central banks ease (Financial Times)
  2. Burger King offers Prince Harry a job (New York Post)
  3. US natgas production to slip for first time since 2016 (Financial Times)
  4. FOX Business EXCLUSIVE: Breakdown of China’s $200B buys from America under historic phase one trade deal (Fox Business)
  5. This Is What Sets Top-Performing Hedge Fund Managers Apart (Institutional Investor)
  6. It May Be Time to Shop for Shares of U.K. Property Firms (Barron’s)
  7. Sen. Rob Portman: Trump’s Trade Deal Forces China to Start Playing by the Rules (Barron’s)
  8. Are Amazon and FedEx Really Ready to Be Friends Again? (24/7 Wall Street)
  9. The Fed (Mostly) Didn’t Cause the Latest Stock Market Melt-Up (Wall Street Journal)
  10. Nio’s stock soars on heavy volume after report of funding secured (MarketWatch)

 

Be in the know. 20 key reads for Sunday…

  1. January Expiration Week: Mixed Bag Last 21 Years (Almanac Trader)
  2. The Man Who’s Spending $1 Billion to Own Every Pop Song (Medium)
  3. U.S., China agree to have semi-annual talks aimed a reforms, resolving disputes: WSJ (Reuters)
  4. Hedge Fund and Insider Trading News: Chase Coleman, Ray Dalio, Daniel Loeb, Ken Griffin, Salesforce.com, Inc. (CRM), Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS), and More (Insider Monkey)
  5. Where’s Your Flying Car? Hyundai and Uber Say They’re Working on It (New York Times)
  6. The 8 Most Beautiful Castle Gardens in Europe (Architectural Digest)
  7. Bloomberg Spent $200 Million and Isn’t on Track to Score a Single Delegate (The Daily Beast)
  8. Nashville Goaltender Pekka Rinne Scores NHL’s First Goalie Goal In Six Years (digg)
  9. avatar-inspired mercedes-benz VISION AVTR concept car lands at CES 2020 (designboom)
  10. Matthew Benkendorf on Managing Equities (Podcast) (Bloomberg)
  11. The 1970 Plymouth Superbird Won 18 NASCAR Races. Now You Can Buy a Street-Legal Version of Your Own. (Robb Report)
  12. ECRI Weekly Leading Index Update (Advisor Perspectives)
  13. This Custom 1970 Dodge Challenger Has 2,500 Horsepower Under the Hood (Maxim)
  14. Will Northrop Grumman Stock Be a Top Performer Again in 2020? (24/7 Wall St.)
  15. Trump called Iran’s bluff. And he won. (Washington Post)
  16. The St. Louis Blues Are Finding New Ways To Beat The Odds (FiveThirtyEight)
  17. The new tools of monetary policy (Ben Bernanke)
  18. Issues 2020: A Fracking Ban Would Trigger Global Recession (Manhattan Institute)
  19. What It’s Like to Be an Investor in Iran’s Market Now (Podcast) (Bloomberg)
  20. How I Built This with Guy Raz Dell Computers: Michael Dell (Apple)

HFT VideoCast – Stock Market Commentary and Weekly Recap – Episode 11

Article referenced in VideoCast above:

The CAKE “Short Skirt, Long Jacket” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)

In this episode we cover:

  • Jobs Report
  • Rig Count
  • Harold Hamm on Oil Prices
  • General stock market commentary.
  • Hemline Indicator
  • Valueline Geometric Index – Long Term Implications
  • Positioning and sentiment.
  • Increased Guidance on tap?
  • Fed Liquidity.
  • AAII sentiment.
  • NAAIM positioning.
  • Earnings by Sectors: Energy, Gold Miners, REITs
  • S&P and Euro Stoxx 600 earnings.
  • Where to find value?  What’s Cheap?
  • India Small Caps
  • Commodities/CRB
  • Exploration & Production
  • Servicers?

Podcast – Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes – Episode 2

Article referenced in podcast above:

The CAKE “Short Skirt, Long Jacket” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)

In this episode we cover:

  • Jobs Report
  • Rig Count
  • Harold Hamm on Oil Prices
  • General stock market commentary.
  • Hemline Indicator
  • Valueline Geometric Index – Long Term Implications
  • Positioning and sentiment.
  • Increased Guidance on tap?
  • Fed Liquidity.
  • AAII sentiment.
  • NAAIM positioning.
  • Earnings by Sectors: Energy, Gold Miners, REITs
  • S&P and Euro Stoxx 600 earnings.
  • Where to find value?  What’s Cheap?
  • India Small Caps
  • Commodities/CRB
  • Exploration & Production
  • Servicers?

2020 Earnings Estimates: U.S. – DOWN. EUROPE – UP.

Data Source: Factset

2020 Earnings Estimates for the S&P 500 trimmed from 177.77 to 177.64 in the past week.  Conversely, the Earnings Estimates for the Euro Stoxx 600 increased by 160bps for 2020 in the past week. Continue reading “2020 Earnings Estimates: U.S. – DOWN. EUROPE – UP.”

Be in the know. 8 key reads for Friday…

  1. The Stock Market Was Up the First 5 Days of 2020. Here’s What History Says Will Happen Next. (Barron’s)
  2. After A Sizzling End To 2019, Biotech Stocks Could Soar In 2020 (Investor’s Business Daily)
  3. Stocks More Than Doubled Over the Last Decade. Many Investors Missed Out. (Institutional Investor)
  4. Facebook Says It Won’t Back Down From Allowing Lies in Political Ads (New York Times)
  5. Warren Buffett calls this ‘indispensable’ life advice: ‘You can always tell someone to go to hell tomorrow’ (CNBC)
  6. The U6 unemployment rate fell to 6.7% to mark the lowest level on record (MarketWatch)
  7. Fed’s Bullard, Kashkari Favor Holding Interest Rates Steady (Wall Street Journal)
  8. Top 2019 Stock Picker Spotted Under-the-Radar Tech (Bloomberg)

The CAKE “Short Skirt, Long Jacket” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)

In 2001, the band CAKE released their hit song, “Short Skirt, Long Jacket.”  If you replace the word “girl” for “stock market” (in the lyrics below) you’ll see the commonalities with today’s investor. Continue reading “The CAKE “Short Skirt, Long Jacket” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)”

Be in the know. 20 key reads for Sunday…

  1. The Tech That Will Invade Our Lives in 2020 (New York Times)
  2. Inside the world of one of YouTube’s most popular food vloggers (Vox)
  3. ‘Points Guy’ Brian Kelly on Maximizing Travel Rewards (Podcast) (Bloomberg)
  4. Typical January Trading: Volatile Last 20 Years (Almanac Trader)
  5. The MMT backlash takes a new form (FT Alphaville)
  6. Hedge Fund and Insider Trading News: Bill Ackman, Marshall Wace, Greenlight Capital, Becton Dickinson and Co (BDX), On Track Innovations Ltd (OTIVF), and More (Insider Monkey)
  7. This Icelandic Retreat Is Reminiscent of a Bond Villain’s Lair (Fortune)
  8. 22 of the Most Expensive Homes in the World for Sale (Robb Report)
  9. 18 Travel Experiences To Add To Your Bucket List In 2020 (BuzzFeed)
  10. ECRI Weekly Leading Index Update (Advisor Perspectives)
  11. Here’s What’s Coming To Netflix, Hulu, Amazon, HBO and Disney+ in January (Maxim)
  12. Episode 216: How Four Drinking Buddies Saved Brazil (NPR Planet Money)
  13. The Great British Bicycle Bubble (NPR Planet Money)
  14. Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff Runs a $143 Billion Company From an iPhone. Here’s Why That Makes Perfect Sense (Inc.)
  15. Why So Many Emerging Markets Are Blowing Up Right Now (Podcast) (Bloomberg)
  16. Scientists Spot Addiction-Associated Circuit in Rats (Scientific American)
  17. Issues 2020: A Fracking Ban Would Trigger Global Recession (Manhattan Institute)
  18. Top 10 Tips to Meet Your New Year’s Resolution. (LiveLux)
  19. 20 Questions We Have for the 2020s (Popular Mechanics)
  20. 713: The Tipping Point Between Failure and Success (Harvard Business Review)