Tag: Industrials

Podcast – Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes – Episode 1

Article referenced in podcast above:

The Earth, Wind & Fire “Shining Star” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)

In this episode we cover:

  • general stock market commentary
  • positioning and sentiment
  • CNBC and Fox Business quotes from this week
  • Increased Guidance on tap?
  • Earnings by Sectors
  • Energy E&P thesis
  • CEO/CFO sentiment
  • Fed Liquidity
  • AAII sentiment
  • NAAIM positioning
  • S&P and Euro Stoxx 600 earnings
  • Dogs of Dow
  • Transports
  • Jude Clemente Energy Article in Forbes
  • Rig count

 

2020 Earnings Estimates: US down modestly, Europe UP

Data Source: Factset

S&P 500 Earnings:

This week, 2020 EPS estimates came down from 178.24 to 177.77.  While this is a drop of 26bps, the 2020 Earnings Growth rate stayed up at 9.6% due to a slight down-tick in 2019 estimated results.  Q4 2019 Estimates have dropped 10bps (from -1.4% to -1.5% since 12/20). Continue reading “2020 Earnings Estimates: US down modestly, Europe UP”

Be in the know. 10 key reads for Friday…

  1. Top 10 Tasks for Boeing’s New CEO (Wall Street Journal)
  2. China’s cabinet plans further action to boost manufacturers: state media (Reuters)
  3. The Power of Social Media in Predicting Stock Returns (Institutional Investor)
  4. Ten Strategists on What U.S.-Iran Escalation Means for Markets (Bloomberg)
  5. Why Battered Oilfield Services Stocks Could Be Big 2020 Winners (24/7 Wall Street)
  6. Why You Should Keep An Eye On These 5 Leading Health Care Stocks (Investor’s Business Daily)
  7. Macau casinos’ luck may change. Two stocks that could win (Barron’s)
  8. The U.S. killed an Iranian General—and the Riskiest Oil Stocks Are Flying (Barron’s)
  9. Boris Johnson’s chief adviser posted a bizarre advert calling for ‘super-talented weirdos’ to help run the UK government (Business Insider)
  10. U.S. shale producers to tap brakes in 2020 after years of rapid growth (Reuters)

Be in the know. 12 key reads for a Merry Christmas…

  1. China ramped up US soybean purchases to 20-month high ahead of partial trade deal (Fox Business)
  2. 20 Things That Have Changed for the Better Since 2010 (24/7 Wall Street)  
  3. Opinion: The real Santa Claus rally is yet to come (MarketWatch)  
  4. Pfizer Stock’s Dismal 2019 Could Be a Prelude to a Comeback (MarketWatch)  
  5. Walgreens Was the Dow’s Biggest Loser in 2019 (MarketWatch)  
  6. Trump says he and Xi will sign China trade deal (Reuters)  
  7. New England Natural Gas Prices Hit Two Year High (Yahoo! Finance)  
  8. Oil Tops $61 as U.S. Crude Oil Inventories Seen Declining (Bloomberg)  
  9. Dow, Inc. Stock Is on the Move—and Should Have a Better 2020 (MarketWatch)  
  10. Warren Buffett’s daughter-in-law couldn’t think of a good Christmas present — so she showed her company’s finances to him (Business Insider)  
  11. Tesla Stock Reaches Elon Musk’s Magic $420, and Then Some (New York Times)  
  12. A 1958 Ferrari 250 GT Cabriolet Could Fetch $7 Million (Barron’s)  

 

 

Be in the know. 20 key reads for Saturday…

  1.  Xi Jinping says ‘phase one’ trade deal benefits both US and China, seeks to sign as soon as possible (CNBC)
  2. DuPont Gets Better End of Deal (Morningstar)
  3. Lowest-rated US bonds end the year with a bang (Financial Times)
  4. Boris Johnson’s Biggest Problem: What to Do Next (Bloomberg)
  5. ‘Put all your eggs in one basket and watch the basket very carefully’: Here are 13 brilliant quotes from billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller (Business Insider)
  6. The 2010s Were the Upside-Down Decade (Barron’s)
  7. This CRISPR Stock Is A 2020 Top Pick — But Will Gene Editing Succeed? (Investor’s Business Daily)
  8. The Oil Situation (ValuePlays)
  9. The Beginning of a New Bull Market In Stocks? (All Star Charts)
  10. Consumer sentiment rises for December despite Trump’s impeachment (CNBC)
  11. How the Icahn-Ackman ‘Battle of the Billionaires’ on CNBC became a defining moment of the decade (CNBC)
  12. When Warren Buffett Thanks You for “Client Alpha” (Validea)
  13. How Vevo’s Artistic and Scientific Approach to Music Videos Is Paying Off After 10 Years (Fortune)
  14. Jim Cramer Says Democratic Debates Show How Badly China’s Xi Needs a Deal (TheStreet)
  15. Amazon Blocked Sellers From Using FedEx And Now We Know Why (Forbes)
  16. 2019 Market Strength Could Give Election-Year 2020 A Boost (Almanac Trader)
  17. The Forbes Investigation: Inside the Secret Bank Behind the Fintech Boom (Forbes)
  18. This 256-Foot Superyacht Transforms Into An Actual Submarine (Maxim)
  19. ECRI Weekly Leading Index Update (Advisor Perspectives)
  20. iPhone maker reportedly building secret satellite team as 5G race speeds up (FoxBusiness)

HFT VideoCast – Stock Market Commentary and Weekly Recap – Episode 8

Article referenced in VideoCast above:

The J. Paul Getty (Energy) Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)

2020 Earnings Estimates Stand Strong

Data Source: Factset

S&P 500 Earnings estimates for 2020 held in strong this week at $178.47 – down modestly from $178.57 last week.  While the normal trajectory over the next two weeks – heading into earnings season – would be to lower estimates further, we may find that this time is different. Continue reading “2020 Earnings Estimates Stand Strong”