Tag: Investing

2020 Earnings Estimates: U.S. – DOWN. EUROPE – UP.

Data Source: Factset

2020 Earnings Estimates for the S&P 500 trimmed from 177.77 to 177.64 in the past week.  Conversely, the Earnings Estimates for the Euro Stoxx 600 increased by 160bps for 2020 in the past week. Continue reading “2020 Earnings Estimates: U.S. – DOWN. EUROPE – UP.”

The CAKE “Short Skirt, Long Jacket” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)

In 2001, the band CAKE released their hit song, “Short Skirt, Long Jacket.”  If you replace the word “girl” for “stock market” (in the lyrics below) you’ll see the commonalities with today’s investor. Continue reading “The CAKE “Short Skirt, Long Jacket” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)”

HFT VideoCast – Stock Market Commentary and Weekly Recap – Episode 10

Article referenced in VideoCast above:

The Earth, Wind & Fire “Shining Star” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)

In this episode we cover:

  • general stock market commentary
  • positioning and sentiment
  • CNBC and Fox Business quotes from this week
  • Increased Guidance on tap?
  • Earnings by Sectors
  • Energy E&P thesis
  • CEO/CFO sentiment
  • Fed Liquidity
  • AAII sentiment
  • NAAIM positioning
  • S&P and Euro Stoxx 600 earnings
  • Dogs of Dow
  • Transports
  • Jude Clemente Energy Article in Forbes
  • Rig count

Podcast – Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes – Episode 1

Article referenced in podcast above:

The Earth, Wind & Fire “Shining Star” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)

In this episode we cover:

  • general stock market commentary
  • positioning and sentiment
  • CNBC and Fox Business quotes from this week
  • Increased Guidance on tap?
  • Earnings by Sectors
  • Energy E&P thesis
  • CEO/CFO sentiment
  • Fed Liquidity
  • AAII sentiment
  • NAAIM positioning
  • S&P and Euro Stoxx 600 earnings
  • Dogs of Dow
  • Transports
  • Jude Clemente Energy Article in Forbes
  • Rig count

 

Be in the know. 15 key reads for Thursday…

  1. China Moves to Steady Its Slowing Economic Growth (New York Times)
  2. The Earth, Wind & Fire “Shining Star” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results) (ZeroHedge)
  3. These 6 charts compare the US and China economies (CNBC)
  4. Irrational exuberance? Why last year’s stellar returns may have been a reversal of ‘excessive pessimism’ (MarketWatch)
  5. Goldman Sachs Was the Worst Dow Stock of 2018. It Was One of the Best in 2019. (Barron’s)
  6. FedEx Stock Ended 2019 With a Loss. One Director Bought Up Shares in December. (Barron’s)
  7. The highest-paid CEOs of 2019 (USA Today)
  8. The Dollar’s Losses May Just Be Getting Started (Bloomberg)
  9. Almost Everything Wall Street Expects in 2020 (Bloomberg)
  10. OPEC Output Falls as Gulf Nations Step Up Delivery of Oil Cuts (Bloomberg)
  11. This is what the Warren Buffett empire looks like, in one giant chart (MarketWatch)
  12. Treasury’s Mnuchin to head U.S. delegation to Davos conclave (Reuters)
  13. 7 Excellent Value Stocks to Buy for 2020 (Yahoo! Finance)
  14. Twilio CEO Lawson Tinkers Until Solving Customers’ Problems (Investor’s Business Daily)
  15. MAX Crashes Strengthen Resolve of Boeing to Automate Flight (Wall Street Journal)

The Earth, Wind & Fire “Shining Star” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)

In 1975, Earth, Wind & Fire released their famous song entitled, “Shining Star.”  The salient lyrics – as they relate to the Stock Market in this week’s note are:

Continue reading “The Earth, Wind & Fire “Shining Star” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)”

The “Fly Me to the Moon” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)

This Monday I was asked on Fox Business if the Grinch would come to steal Christmas.  I laid out a number of reasons why I believed the coast was clear until year-end and what I was Continue reading “The “Fly Me to the Moon” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)”